In-Running Blog

In-running Lays: Back-to-lay Milly Baloo and Aristo Du Plessis

Milly Baloo

Above: Milly Baloo runs in the 1.40 at Kelso.

1.40 Kelso: Milly Baloo has traded below at least half her BSP in-running in 10 of her 13 career starts and looks to have a great chance of doing so again back in this mares’ only novice handicap. She switched to chasing this season and ran a great race to finish second to Susie Sheep at Market Rasen, trading down to 2.04 in-running from a BSP of 17.73. Last time out she failed to trade low, but she came up against a well-handicapped horse in Vinnie Red who won easily, but made up ground late in the race to be just beaten a neck in to third over an inadequate 2m5f. Today she steps up in distance to 2m7f, a distance which has seen her trade down to 2.04, 2.06 and 1.20 in-running, and all on soft ground. She is a strong travelling horse that is usually dropped out in her races and makes headway from the rear to challenge late in her races; she currently trades around 6.60 for a back-to-lay.

2.10 Kelso: Aristo Du Plessis has lost his form since running up a sequence and is a risky proposition for a back-to-lay, but a return to a sharp left-handed track on soft ground could help this front-runner. He ran a poor race last time at Doncaster, but he didn’t lead on the quicker ground. In his last four races he only traded low in-running, down to 3.00 from a BSP of 11.50 when he was able to lead in heavy ground. Eased in the handicap he could be worth chancing at double figure odds to trade low, which he should if getting an easy lead; he currently trades around 15.0 for a back-to-lay.

15 Jan 2017

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