Above: Daryl Jacob rides Lami Serge at Ayr.
Lami Serge has been incredibly consistent, finishing no worse than third in his last 10 runs. He ran a great race at Cheltenham to finish second, to only be beaten a neck by Arctic Fire. He went off at 25/1 for that race and traded all the way down to 2.28 from a BSP of 31.36.
He has failed only twice in in 14 races to trade below half his BSP in-running, but both times he went off at fairly short odds. Going off at big odds have seen him trade best, having gone off at 6.01 and 10.50 to trade down to 1.56 and 1.21 respectively. He should start at double figure prices again today and looks a decent back-to-lay; he currently trades around 12.50.
Flying Hope has traded below at least half her BSP in 11 of her 13 starts to date and more importantly in all 7 starts on turf. She can make the running or sit just behind the pace, but she usually ends up in the lead at some point which sees her trade low at this distance of 5 furlongs. She rarely finishes her races off and quickly drops out at the business end of the race. Her poor finishing positions have seen her drop down the handicap and today races of just 46, with claimer Ben Sanderson taking off another 7lb; she currently trades around 9.0 for a back-to-lay.22 Apr 2017
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