1.05 Navan: This race is dominated by Jezki who is probably about 20lb’s clear of this field and is well-treated at the weights. While he could well win this easily, he will have bigger targets further-a-field and could be worth avoiding coming in to this race off a near 2 year lay-off. The majority of this field have question marks over regard fitness and distance, but Henry De Bromhead’s chaser Aliser D’Irlane isn’t one of them. He’s reverting back to hurdles but he’s a really quick 2-miler over fences, who could get his own way upfront for a long way; he currently trades around 20.0 for a back-to-lay.
2.40 Haydock: L’Ami Serge has traded odds-on in-running in his last 7 races (only winning the first two), and last time out down to 1.10 when collared by Agrapart at Cheltenham on the 1st of January when travelling like a winner. He’s up against two class horses in Irving and The New One, who do carry penalties, but on ratings are better off under penalties than they would be in a handicap. While the drop down to 2 miles could suit the strong travelling L’Ami Serge who has struggled over further lately, his best for has been over further. He’s too short at 2.60 for a back-to-lay but it could be worth chancing low liability in-running lays at 1.50 and lower. He should travel well throughout but could find the likes of Irving and The New One who may get outpaced as the pace quickens staying on again.21 Jan 2017
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