3.10 Kempton: Brandon Hill is a front runner in great form and he could well make it 5 wins from his last 6 races. At the bottom of the weights is Cloudy Bob, who last won here over course and distance last March. He is usually held up out the back and seems best suited to a left-handed flat galloping tracks. He has traded below at least half his BSP in-running in his last 6 races going left-handed at Kempton and Ascot, and you need to go nearly 2 years back to the last time he failed to trade low in-running going left-handed.
He currently trades around 11.0 for a back-to-lay, but as a horse that is usually held up he will probably trade bigger in-running for a better price.
Above: Ciaran Gethings rides Calin Du Brizais at Musselburgh.
2.20 Fairyhouse: Tulpar has traded below 20% of his BSP in-running in all 5 runs under rules. Last time out he claimed his maiden win in a 2m4f handicap chase at Punchestown. Travelling prominently he took up the running before being headed on the run-in to get up by a nose having traded at 350.0 in-running. He only won by a nose and is now up 7lb for that win, but the pair was 29 lengths clear of the third horse; he currently trades around 7.20 for a back-to-lay.
2.30 Lingfield: Come On Dave returned to form last time out at Kempton when making the most of being drawn in stall 1 to finish second to Outrage over 5 furlongs. He started the race with a BSP of 24.55 and traded all the way down to 1.33 in-running, he set off at a furious pace and was clear until tiring in the last half furlong. He has again being drawn in stall 1 and should be quickly with Mossgo on outside keeping the pressure on; he currently trades around 9.0 for a back-to-lay.
2.40 Musselburgh: The return to better ground and back to hurdling could see Calin Du Brizais bounce back to form following two poor efforts on soft ground over fences. He races off just 106 on his return to hurdling and with claimer Ciaran Gethrings taking off a further 5lbs, it puts him on his last winning mark of 101. His in-running trading over hurdles has seen him trade below at least half his BSP in 6 of his 7 races; he currently trades around 12.0 for a back-to-lay.
3.35 Sandown: Loose Chips is quite a regular here at Sandown, his last three racecourse appearances have been here which have seen him trade well below half his BSP in-running. He traded down to 3.30 in-running from a BSP of 26.64 over course and distance last time out, on ground similar to todays. He races off exactly the same mark and this prominent runner should again be competitive; he currently trades around 12.50 for a back-to-lay.
2.15 Catterick: Caprice D’Anglais has traded below at least half his BSP in 6 of his last 7 runs. While his last run was pretty disappointing, it may have come a little quick after an impressive 25 length win previously. His two previous runs before that disappointment yielded two wins on rain softened ground and on a right handed track which he returns to again here. He looks the obvious pace in this race with Nomoreblackjack likely to keep him company upfront; he currently trades around 6.60 for a back-to-lay.
2.45 Catterick: Brian Boranha has traded below at least half his BSP in his last four races and was unfortunate enough to lose a race he won after his jockey weighed in light last month. He’s a strong travelling horse the is usually held up behind the pace; he currently trades around 4.80 for a back-to-lay.
1.30 Southwell: Elkstone has fell in two of his last three races and despite that fact he has still traded below at least half his BSP in-running in those races. He’s a strong traveller that makes ground from the rear which sees him trade low in-running. Though he is struggling with his jumping he could well trade low if putting in a clear round; he currently trades around 14.0 for a back-to-lay.
3.25 Down Royal: This small field novice hurdle could play to the strengths of Charlie Stout. He is a strong travelling horse that is usually held-up right out the back and has met his fair share of trouble in-running in big field races around tight Irish tracks. With only four other runners to contend with today he should travel well in behind and be well positioned to challenge in the latter stages of the race; he currently trades around 4.50 for a back-to-lay.
4.00 Lingfield: Doitforthevillage was a course and distance winner here last December and now races off just a 5lb higher mark. The heavy ground should not inconvenience him having gone close at Exeter when only collared late on after demolishing the final fence when clear and possibly idling out in front. He ran a poor race last time out but it’s possible the race came too quick after his previous race; he currently trades around 4.60 for a back-to-lay.
Above: Richard Johnson rides Any Currency in the cross country chase at Cheltenham.
2.50 Cheltenham: After three runs over regulation fences Any Currency returns back to the unique Cross Country course. Since switching to the cross country scene he has become one of the leading horses of this sphere, having won last year’s Cross Country Chase over course and distance at the festival last year. He has contested 11 of the unique chase which has seen him win 3 times, but more importantly trade to less than half his BSP in-running in all but one. This year’s race isn’t one of the most competitive renewals with quite a few inexperienced albeit highly rated chasers trying cross country for the first time. While he is high in the handicap, he only just failed to give the well-handicapped Josies Orders 23lb in his last cross country handicap, and now races off just a 2lb higher mark. This bold front-runner should get his own way upfront and looks a great bet to trade low; he currently trades around 10.0 for a back-to-lay.
Above: Danny Hand has a great record on Wee Small Hours having placed on him on all three rides to date
1.50 Fairyhouse: Wee Small Hours has yet to win a race but is came closest to winning here over course and distance in November. On similar ground to what he will encounter today he traded down to 1.03 in-running from a BSP of 7.42, having been well-backed and looking the winner after taking up the running at the second last. He again gets claimer Danny Hand aboard who has ridden him to two second place finishes and a fourth place, he takes off a handy 7lbs. He has attracted market support again today with both the bookies and on Betfair so another good run looks expected with the apparent support; he currently trades around 12.0 for a back-to-lay.
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